In 1994, the man in this video explained why it would be a bad idea to invade Iraq. His knowledge of the geopolitical area is impressive, his argument persuasive.
Unfortunately, he left the American government and joined Halliburton in 1995. Which is too bad, as he would have been a good advisor to President Bush before the 2003 invasion. So Bush was left with an ex-‘Big Oil’ company CEO to advise him instead.